Wednesday, March 13, 2013

Update: The Recession Probability Chart via Calculated Risk

Last November, I mentioned a recession probability chart from the St Louis Fed that was making the rounds, and that some people were misusing the chart to argue a new recession was starting in the US. Below is an update to the chart.

A few weeks later - also in November - the author, University of Oregon Professor Jeremy Piger, posted some FAQs and data for the chart online. Professor Piger writes:

Read more...Calculated Risk: Update: The Recession Probability Chart

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